Adam Schaeffer has published two articles at Realclearpolitics.com explaining why he thinks that Blackwell will beat Strickland. http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2006/05/blackwell_vs_strickland_part_i_1.html. He writes:

 

When asked what would do the most to provide African Americans with more jobs, 36 percent chose tax breaks for businesses over more government programs. 37 percent of African Americans chose "I see myself more as part of the middle class and am looking for political candidates who share my beliefs on issues such as reducing taxes and spending and strengthening moral values," over working class and government solutions. And support for school vouchers ranges from around 50 percent to almost 80 percent, depending on how bad local schools are and whether or not the respondents are parents.

Abortion, gay marriage, vouchers, and religion are all visceral, important issues on which 46 percent or more of black voters agree with Blackwell. And even on fiscal matters, Blackwell would find support from around 35 percent to 40 percent of the black community.

 

Read the whole thing to find out why these facts are important.