19 comments:

1. mRed, 9. November 2007, 23:32
   Look for Brinkman announcing by the end of the year.

    
2. MeanJean, 10. November 2007, 1:11
   Heimlich’s not dropping out…infact, he’ll beat Mean Jean in the primary.

    
3. Sick of fools, 10. November 2007, 6:42
   As long as Mean Jean Schmidt is in the picture, the 2nd CD will be in danger of going to the Democrats. It’s ridiculous that a district Bush won by 30 points is in such trouble.

   Heimlich, Brinkman, or any other conservative who didn’t support Bob Taft’s tax hikes or Simon Leis’s Sales Tax scam, any of them would be a vast improvement over Mean Jean and ensure we hold the seat.

    
4. Rose, 10. November 2007, 8:15
   Heimlich did support the HamCo sales tax…so did Brinkman and COAST. I believe the only difference was that COAST wanted it on the ballot, Heimlich didn’t.

   http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vF3Iko_xWPI

    
5. OH d-2, 10. November 2007, 11:42
   what about thom raga

    
6. TNP, 10. November 2007, 13:20
   Phil’s ill-advised effort was doomed from the start.
   I hope he stays in the race, and Brinkman makes it a three-way. That would greatly facilitate the good Congresswoman’s victory. But if Phil falls away and Tom jumps up, again, to challenge Congresswoman Jean Schmidt, that’s a good thing, too. When she whups him once again, maybe he’ll permanently go back to the printing business and limit his political involvement to giving periodic press conferences on behalf of his brainchild, COAST, in opposition to each and every tax and tax increase known to man. He’s a lackey of bully-boy, Christopher Finney, and everyone with any political savvy at all knows it. Brinkman, Finney, Urling and that whole bunch of good ol’ boy fanatics loathe and despise Congresswoman Jean Schmidt because
   1) she’s a woman, 2) she’s not from Hamilton County,
   3) they can’t control her and 4) while she’s a fiscal conservative, she also places some other priorities above her concerns about taxes and government spending, e.g. pro-life and pro-family concerns. To Finney’s Fanatics, money and taxes take precedence over EVERY OTHER CONSERVATIVE AGENDA ITEM. If you don’t believe that, just ask one of them.

    
7. VikingSpirit, 10. November 2007, 20:05
   If Schmidt gets past the primary, she’ll have a tough time holding the seat…and even if she does, the party will have to dump millions into the race to hold the seat - money which we need in other districts.

   If Heimlich wins the primary, it’s a safe R seat.

   ‘Nuff said.

    
8. AdamsCoRepublican, 11. November 2007, 0:30
   Sounds to me like the Schmidt people keep stirring the pot with these rumors about Heimlich because they realize Heimlich is a major threat to Schmidt. Heimlich is a very viable fundraiser (as his numbers have proven), and has the right message for the 2nd District. Schmidt’s fundraising is still abysmal (if I’m correct, she is still 300k in debt from the last cycle), and she is obviously a weak candidate.

   If Heimlich wins, the seat becomes a safe Republican seat. If Schmidt wins, the seat is going to be very competitive, and Wulsin would have a strong chance of beating her. Regardless if Schmidt wins or loses, the state and national party will have to dump loads of money into her race that is needed in other races. Quite frankly, we shouldn’t be wasting resources on somebody who is a disgrace to the 2nd District.

    
9. Matthew, 11. November 2007, 0:46
   I hope you’re right… But the person I got the rumor for is a solid source.

   The last time I posted a rumor about Phil, I wrote it on Ken Blackwell’s blog and I predicted he would no longer be Petro’s running mate. I predicted it about 30 days before they announced, and I linked to Neil Sedaka’s “Breaking Up is Hard to Do” to make fun of them.

    
10. Sam, 12. November 2007, 9:38
    Brinkman is running against Schmidt. Heimlich will run for the Ohio House.

     
11. NixGuy.com » Huckabee Coming to Town (Pingback), 12. November 2007, 21:31
     

    […] hanging around in town, which makes me wonder if he’s up to something especially now that the rumor is out about Heimlich dropping out. Filed under: 2nd, Campaign 2008 by — Dave @ 10:31 […]

     
12. anonymous, 12. November 2007, 23:40
    I just spoke to someone in the Heimlich campaign regarding this supposed rumor, and they laughed about the notion of Heimlich dropping out. They aren’t suprised that Heimlich’s detractors are trying to stir up these rumors. With Heimlich having raised more money than Schmidt, people across the district understanding more and more that the only way Republicans can lose this seat is if Jean wins the primary. Phil is in the race to stay. I’m surprised Right Angle Blog fell for this one.

     
13. Justin, 13. November 2007, 3:11
    after marching in the veterans day parade this weekend in clermont county, phil heimlich put the final nail in the coffin. i heard he wasn’t even allowed in the GOP headquarters because of his disgraceful actions (he was the ONLY politician that marched in the parade, which is (generally) a non-political event). heimlich is a disgrace to the republican party, and anyone that claims schmidt would lose to a democrat but heimlich would win need only to look at his last election, in which he got DEMOLISHED by a democrat. what makes anyone think he could win in the second district? someone above mentioned phil’s numbers. what numbers? he had polling done, but never released the results. i wonder why. hmmmmmmmm.

     
14. AdamsCoRepublican, 13. November 2007, 20:33
    Justin, you’re completely off regarding this race, and your case regarding Heimlich losing the Commissioner’s race in Ham Co. is retarded. Heimlich didn’t get demolished; he lost by six points against a very well-funded and well-known moderate Democrat, David Pepper. Hamilton County was at the time and is about a 50/50 R/D county. Schmidt won by a little over 1,000 votes in a 70/30 R/D district against a VERY LIBERAL Democrat, Vic Wulsin.

    Regardless if Schmidt would win or lose, the party will still have to dump millions of dollars to save her in what should be a safe Republican seat. Leaders in both parties agree that Schmidt will have a very competitive race on her hands. This seat would be a safe R seat if anyone but Jean Schmidt was on the ballot.

    Justin, you’re obviously a Schmidt hack who doesn’t have his head on straight.

     
15. Justin, 13. November 2007, 21:34
    AdamsCoRepublican…where are the MILLIONS that the party dumped into jeans races the last 4 times?

    yeah. try again. heimlich has managed to piss off so many people. his only hope is to win hamilton county by a 99% margin of victory, and i dont think that will happen. this past weekend, he managed to piss off an entire county in one easy swoop. i was watching the parade from the sidelines when heimlich came strolling through with his smartass grin on his face. the man got BOOS from the crowd. i dont know how you do things out your way, but our veterans day parade is sacred. you don’t pull those tricks out here. heimlich shot himself in the foot. for jeans sake, i hope heimlich stays in the race. oh, and i took plenty of pictures. i wish i could have recorded it. if it didn’t upset me so much, i would have been laughing my ass off.

     
16. AdamsCoRepublican, 13. November 2007, 22:07
    Justin, does the NRCC ring a bell?

     
17. TNP, 13. November 2007, 23:21
    Parker, understand something. Phil Heimlich can not win the Second District congressional seat. He will not make it past the primary. No one outside of Hamilton County as far east as Anderson Township knows him, and a lot of folks IN Hamco don’t like him or have confidence in his ability to be successful in the Second District. He’s a COAST castoff whose claim to fame is his loss to Pepper right after that famous butt-slapping, profane performance by his former mentor, Boss Finney, in front of all the local media at a Pepper press conference. Were he to beat Jean in the primary, he’d probably win against the Democrat, but he would not be a shoo-in. And the Second District seat would not be any more safely in the GOP fold with him as the candidate rather than Jean. I don’t grasp why you don’t see that.

     
18. CincyJeff, 15. November 2007, 0:40
    Rose is intentionally trying to confuse us by mixing up 2 different ballot issues. The 2006 issue would have raised the Sales Tax by 1/4 cent over 10 years to build a jail and provide meager propety tax rollback. This was supported by Heimlich and DeWine. COAST was neutral and Brinkman voted against it. This tax failed.

    The recent 2007 proposal, Issue 27, would have raised the Sales Tax by 1/2 cent over 8 years and 1/4 cent over 7 years. It would have raised $777 million to build a $198 million jail. COAST and Brinkman were strongly against this Supersized tax hike and Pat DeWine helped lead the opposition. I know that Heimlich opposed it too. Since this was a huge tax increase that wasted a ton of money, Mean Jean supported it. Fortunately this tax also failed.

    Personally I joined Tom Brinkman in voting against both of these issues. They both deserved to fail, though even as I opposed both I found the 2007 issue to be much worse. We should not try to confuse the issues.

     
19. CincyJeff, 15. November 2007, 0:53
    Justin wrote: “after marching in the veterans day parade this weekend in clermont county, phil heimlich put the final nail in the coffin. i heard he wasn’t even allowed in the GOP headquarters because of his disgraceful actions (he was the ONLY politician that marched in the parade, which is (generally) a non-political event). heimlich is a disgrace to the republican party, and anyone that claims schmidt would lose to a democrat but heimlich would win need only to look at his last election, in which he got DEMOLISHED by a democrat.”

    I hope this post was written to be comic relief. First, I doubt any real person is going to dislike somebody for marching in a Veterans Day parade. Are you Mean Jean or her eviler twin sister Jennifer Black?

    If you want to look at the numbers, let’s do that. President Bush in a close national race won Hamilton County by 7 points. Heimlich lost Hamilton County by 6 points. This means we can say Heimlich underperformed the R vote here by about 13 points, which isn’t good.

    President Bush won the 2nd CD by 28 points. Mean Jean has won the district by 1 point and 3 points, after Republicans had to divert millions in resources to her. She has underperfomed the R vote by 25 and 27 points, which actually makes Heimlich’s bad numbers look good by comparison. Heimlich would do much better to hold the district.

    Of course, if we could get someone like Brinkman or Portman to run that would be even better. We wouldn’t have to worry about them losing the district or raising taxes like Jean loves to do.

     

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